As each week passes, the Dec. 1 trade deadline in ESPN fantasy football leagues draws a little closer.
Fantasy managers often ask me what players to trade for, and my advice is this — be proactive. Seek out the undervalued players and those with favorable remaining schedules. Find the fantasy managers in your league that may have an abundance of players at a certain position and, therefore, might be willing to unload some of that depth to upgrade another position.
Here are 13 players you should trade for right now.
Mahomes’ subpar play is well documented. Has he really been that bad? Mahomes has averaged 299 yards and 26.1 fantasy points per game. Four touchdowns and five interceptions in three games is concerning, but Mahomes isn’t the first or last NFL quarterback to deal with adversity. His team boasts one of the best tight ends in the NFL in Travis Kelce, the best deep threat in Tyreek Hill, and one of the best play callers in Andy Reid. We will see Mahomes bounce back soon, with the Monday Night game against the New York Giants in Week 8 being a perfect opportunity to do so.
Fantasy managers are concerned about Mixon’s limited targets or Samaje Perine‘s 75 yards and touchdown against the Ravens. Well, fear not. Only Ezekiel Elliott (20.2), Christian McCaffrey (23), Alvin Kamara (23.4), Dalvin Cook (24.5), Najee Harris (24.7), and Derrick Henry (30.1) have more opportunities per game than Mixon (20). The rest of Mixon’s season looks promising now that he’s healthy and a part of one of the NFL’s most explosive offenses.
Given how Sam Darnold is imploding before our eyes, it’s easy to overlook Moore. However, the only receiver with more targets per game than Moore is Cooper Kupp (11.6). He also ranks sixth in receiving air yards per game. Moore is talented enough to overcome poor quarterback play and the Panthers’ remaining schedule is WR friendly. Before the Panthers’ bye week, Moore will face a number of defenses that have allowed high numbers of points per game to wide receivers, including the Falcons (8th), Patriots (15th), Washington Football Team (2nd) and the Dolphins (3rd).
Ertz caught three passes for 66 yards and a score in his first game with the Cardinals and became just the second player since 1970 to score a touchdown for two different teams in consecutive weeks. His wife quizzed him nightly on Arizona’s playbook leading up to last week’s game, according to reports. In the past, the Cardinals haven’t featured the tight end position, but it’s hard to believe Arizona would trade for a player they weren’t planning to utilize. Ertz will face a number of defenses that have allowed a steady number of points to tight ends in the weeks ahead. The Packers, 49ers, Panthers and Seahawks have allowed an average of 11.84 points per game to the position.
With 19 touches for 104 yards, Carter played a season-high 72.3% of the Jets’ offensive snaps. The offense for New York is a dumpster fire this season, ranking 31st in yards and 32nd in points. The Jets’ quarterback situation is even worse with Joe Flacco taking over for the injured rookie Zach Wilson. This workload (especially the targets) makes Carter fantasy relevant regardless of game flow.
Dolphins are one of the most talked-about teams in the NFL, but for all the wrong reasons. The one bright spot has been Waddle. In last week’s game against the Atlanta Falcons, he caught seven of eight targets for 83 yards. Among wide receivers with 25 or more targets this season, he ranks fourth with a catch rate of 76% and also has four games with 60 or more receiving yards. Among Tua Tagovailoa‘s touchdown passes, Waddle’s caught 42% of them. The Dolphins’ schedule for the rest of the season is challenging for wide receivers, but it softens considerably from Week 15-17 with games against the Jets, New Orleans Saints and Tennessee Titans.
Chase Edmonds, RB, Arizona Cardinals
The dynamic between Edmonds and Conner in Arizona is intriguing. Both players have similar opportunity shares (rushing attempts plus targets). Edmonds has averaged 14.6 per game while Conner has averaged 13.6; a committee at its best. The reason Conner has been valuable in fantasy is that he’s averaging 0.9 touchdowns per game and has seen plenty of red zone carries in a Cardinals offense (402.1) that is averaging the seventh-most team yards per game. The touchdown rate of Conner is not sustainable, but Edmonds’ stranglehold on targets makes him more intriguing for the remainder of the season. Edmonds has averaged 81.3 yards per game, and the positive regression in touchdowns is coming.
After DJ Chark’s season-ending ankle injury in Week 4, the Jaguars’ receivers are still recovering, and Jacksonville’s bye week was a blessing in disguise. In the absence of Chark, Shenault has been underwhelming so far, but many fantasy managers overlook the fact that he has moved from the slot to Chark’s X receiver position. In Weeks 5 and 6, Chark was not in the lineup, so Shenault played 19 snaps in the slot and 84 on the outside. The Jaguars are likely to move him around more against a struggling Seahawks’ defense this week, which will improve Shenault’s chances of succeeding.
Calvin Ridley, WR, Atlanta Falcons
Pitts’ debut against the Dolphins was so epic that he accounted for 40.2% of the Falcons’ receiving yards, and fantasy managers had balloons and appetizers. In a let-the-air-out type of performance, Ridley only finished with 26 yards and a touchdown. A season ago, he averaged 91.6 receiving yards and 136.8 receiving air yards per game. So far this season, he has been targeted 52 times. Things have to improve, right? Matchups against the 49ers in Week 15 and Lions in Week 16 are also very appealing.
Henderson was supposed to breeze past the Lions’ front seven last week. Unfortunately, that didn’t happen and he had his worst statistical performance of the season. However, Henderson has averaged 92.5 total yards per game this season and has a chance to redeem himself in the weeks ahead. Leading up to the Rams’ bye week, Henderson faces the Texans, Titans and 49ers. Tennessee (12th) and Houston (9th) rank in the top-12 for total fantasy points allowed per game to opposing offenses. Henderson will be able to flourish not only as a runner between the tackles behind the Rams’ talented offensive line, but also as a receiver out of the backfield.
Tyler Higbee, TE, Los Angeles Rams
Higbee’s 46 yards were his most since the season opener, when he had 68. This season, he has only averaged 4.7 targets per game, while Cooper Kupp (11.6) and Robert Woods (7.1) are both actively targeted on a per game basis. In spite of that, Higbee played 100% of the Rams’ offensive snaps last week, ran a route on 96% of Stafford’s drop backs, and had eight targets against the Lions. In this week’s game, he faces a Houston Texans defense that allows the second-most fantasy points to tight ends (18.54). Given the Rams’ upcoming schedule, Higbee can expect more productive games in the near future.
DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Arizona Cardinals
Fantasy managers with Hopkins on their team have fond memories of the 2020 season when he averaged 10 targets, 7.2 receptions and 87.9 receiving yards per game. Oh, those were the days, and so far in 2021 he’s taken a step back in the productivity department. Hopkins has only been targeted 6.3 times per game this season and hasn’t surpassed 90 yards in any game. So why trade for him now? Because there’s reason’s to believe in Hopkins the rest of the way. For one, Kyler Murray has a passer rating of 149.3 when throwing to Hopkins — the highest rating of all the Cardinals’ pass catchers. Additionally, the Cardinals still have games against the 49ers, Seahawks and Lions — all defenses with major issues at cornerback.
J.D. McKissic, RB, Washington Football Team
Antonio Gibson is valiantly playing through a shin injury that could hobble him for the rest of the season, and the opportunity share for Gibson (14.5) and McKissic (14.5) has been nearly identical over the last two games. Washington’s remaining schedule is favorable for dual-threat running backs like McKissic. Despite his lack of allure, he can still provide you with a high-quality RB3/flex every week.
Matthew Berry and Field Yates examine Washington’s backfield and if J.D. McKissic has more value than Antonio Gibson going forward.
How Lee Evans moved past his devastating failed catch 10 years ago – Baltimore Ravens Blog
Lee Evans has long moved on from one of the biggest playoff gaffes in NFL history, although the former Baltimore Ravens wide receiver hasn’t moved far from Baltimore.
Evans, 40, lives a one-hour drive away in Northern Virginia, where he is busy investing in real estate and coaching his 13-year-old son in football, basketball and baseball. As a coach, one of the lessons Evans teaches comes from the lowest point of his eight-year NFL career.
“It’s not necessarily about what happens to you, it’s how you react to it,” Evans said. “I think the biggest thing, when you’re talking to kids, is letting them know that it’s OK to fail, and you’re going to fail. It’s going to happen. So if you can’t rebound from it, you probably won’t go very far in anything.”
It was 10 years ago on Saturday — Jan. 22, 2012 — when Evans failed to hold onto a potential winning touchdown catch in the waning seconds of the AFC Championship Game and cost the Ravens a trip to the Super Bowl. The 23-20 loss to the New England Patriots was sealed when Billy Cundiff’s 32-yard field goal attempt sailed wide left with 15 seconds left.
He has second-guessed what he could’ve done better to not let cornerback Sterling Moore slap the ball away from his grasp in the end zone, but Evans doesn’t obsess. He’s not haunted by the fact that the final pass thrown to him resulted in this dreadful moment in Foxborough, Massachusetts.
“I feel like I could have been stronger with the catch, but yeah, for a DB, that’s what they want to do,” Evans said. “They want to get their hands on the ball and knock it out. And he did a good job of doing that.”
Evans still loves football. He took his son to last Saturday’s playoff game in Buffalo. Lee Evans IV is a Buffalo Bills fan because he was born in Buffalo, where his father caught 377 passes from 2004 to 2010.
The elder Evans still loves the Ravens. He has attended one game at M&T Bank Stadium a few years ago, and he believes his youngest son, 3-year-old Lyndon, will grow up to be a Ravens fan.
He still loves visiting Baltimore. He lived in the city a year after being cut by the Ravens, and he’s been making frequent trips there recently to look at real estate properties.
Every now and then, Evans does get recognized.
“There hasn’t been any type of issue,” he said. “It was all in good support.”
Evans has always been grateful for the support he received from his teammates after the game, even to this day. He recently reconnected with Hall of Fame middle linebacker Ray Lewis through a mutual friend.
“He put us on a text, and my heart just smiled,” Lewis said. “I said it then: ‘One guy does not win or lose a game, a team wins and loses games, right?’ And yeah, one moment that it didn’t go the way he would’ve wanted it to go, that it is what it is. But as a brother, I loved him more. I love him more now.”
A decade ago, Evans stopped Lewis as he was boarding the bus outside Gillette Stadium. Evans knew the 36-year-old linebacker might never get a chance at getting to the Super Bowl again, and he wanted to apologize. But Lewis stopped him.
“People say it all the time, ‘Oh, he should have made that catch,’” Lewis said. “I know a lot of tackles I should have made. I know a lot of things we should have done. He was one of the reasons why we was in the AFC Championship. Let’s make that loud and clear. And so as a brother, I’m proud of him. I’m proud of him that he’s kept himself together and he’s living a really good life.”
After that game, Evans asked someone from public relations to get him a picture of his failed catch. He wanted it to serve as a constant reminder to keep pushing. For a while, the photo hung on a wall in his home.
That pic captured Evans’ final NFL game. After getting cut by Baltimore, he signed with the Jacksonville Jaguars, but he was released early in training camp.
Many of Evans’ teammates with the Ravens received a second chance, and they capitalized on it. Baltimore exacted some revenge in winning in New England in the AFC Championship Game the following season and then beat the San Francisco 49ers in the Super Bowl.
Evans was cheering the Ravens along the way.
“I knew who that team was and the potential that it had,” Evans said. “So whether I’m on that team or not, seeing what it was made up of, it was great to see them get over that hump. I was really, really happy for those guys because it was a special group of guys, for sure.”
Evans heard that the failed catch was talked about in Tom Brady’s “Man in the Arena” series on ESPN, and he plans on watching it. He can’t remember the last time he thought about the play before this.
“It’s not really on my mind a whole lot,” Evans said. “I mean, obviously when you go to games and you’re watching football and you see things happen, you think back to when you played. But it’s not really something that I think about constantly or dwell on.”
NFL divisional round – Could cold be a factor for San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers playoff game?
GREEN BAY, Wis. — For much of their storied history, the Green Bay Packers were unbeatable at home in the postseason.
The Packers, buoyed by the minuscule temperatures of the “frozen tundra,” won each of their first 13 playoff games at Lambeau Field. Some of that mystique has worn off since the Packers suffered their first home playoff loss to the Atlanta Falcons in 2003, as they have gone 7-6 since the undefeated start.
Green Bay’s next chance to win a home playoff game comes Saturday night in the NFC divisional round when quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo and the San Francisco 49ers visit Lambeau for the first time in the postseason since Jan. 5, 2014.
Whether weather really matters in a game such as this was a popular topic this week as the Niners prepared for the Packers. That was especially true for Garoppolo, who, according to ESPN Stats & Information research, has not thrown a pass in an NFL game with kickoff temperatures below 40 degrees.
By kickoff Saturday night (8:15 p.m. ET), the temperature, according to weather.com, is expected to be around 10 degrees and dropping through the evening, though it’s not likely to make the top 10 list of the coldest games. For point of reference, the last time the 49ers played a playoff game in Green Bay, the kickoff temperature was 5 degrees.
Since 2014, 101 quarterbacks have started a game with kickoff temperatures below 40 degrees, which means this will be Garoppolo’s first, at least in the NFL. Not that he’s too concerned about it.
“I’ve lived in it my whole life, so there’s just different ways [to get ready for it],” Garoppolo said. “I think people who have grown up in it and played in it for a long time, there’s ways to prepare for it, things that you kind of know going into it. I think our team, we have a good mindset going into this thing and we know what it’s going to be like on Saturday, so it’ll be a hell of an atmosphere.”
Before Saturday, the closest Garoppolo has come to throwing a pass in what is loosely defined as a “cold weather” NFL game was during his time as the backup to Tom Brady with the New England Patriots. The Patriots had 13 games with a kickoff temperature below 40 degrees during his tenure, but he played only three snaps in those games, all of which were kneel-downs.
Despite that, Garoppolo is no stranger to playing football in cold weather. He grew up in Arlington Heights, Illinois, just three hours from Green Bay, and spent his high school and college (Eastern Illinois University) careers regularly playing in the cold. Most recently, that included a pair of FCS playoff games in 2013 that had an average low of 8 degrees on those days. Garoppolo threw for 561 yards, five touchdowns and an interception in those contests combined.
On the other side, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers is 34-12 since 2014 in games played below 40 degrees. His playoff record for such games is 4-1.
Of more importance for Garoppolo is how the weather affects his injured right (throwing) thumb and shoulder. He has a torn ligament in the thumb and a sprained shoulder. The cold combined with those two injuries could affect Garoppolo’s ability to grip the ball and will be worth watching when he takes hits.
Garoppolo suffered the shoulder injury last week against the Dallas Cowboys and said it had an impact on every throw he made after it happened, not unlike the searing pain he feels in his thumb after any throw.
“It’s a shoulder injury, so any type of throw you’re going to feel it and it’s going to change things,” Garoppolo said. “It’s just similar to when I was first dealing with the thumb, my body’s just learning and I have to adapt to it.”
As for the rest of the 49ers, the thought of cold weather doesn’t seem to faze them much. Coach Kyle Shanahan acknowledged that he doesn’t “do well” in cold but said it’s up to individual players on how to handle it themselves, whether that means wearing long sleeves, long underwear or whatever else is available to try to keep warm.
“The weather is cold out there, but that’s no reason to affect a game,” Shanahan said. “Wind is a much bigger factor. Rain is a bigger factor.”
Tight end George Kittle harked back to 2013, when he was at Iowa and the Hawkeyes played Michigan on a day that was minus-28 degrees with the wind chill.
Kittle offered some tips on how best to handle it all.
“My key to staying warm is just to play, play a lot of snaps and so you keep your blood going,” Kittle said. “The heated seats and the heaters on the sideline are probably really nice. But hey, it’s football, you can’t really use the cold as an excuse.”
Will Pete Carroll go past comfort zone for Seahawks’ new d-coordinator – Seattle Seahawks Blog
SEATTLE — On a personal level, the decision to fire defensive coordinator Ken Norton Jr. had to be brutal for Pete Carroll.
The Seattle Seahawks coach is known for loyalty to his assistants and has long had a particular affinity for Norton, once calling him one of the favorite people he’s worked with during his coaching career. The two go back to the mid-90s, when Norton was an All-Pro linebacker for the San Francisco 49ers while Carroll was their defensive coordinator. Norton worked under Carroll for 15 of the past 18 seasons dating back to their time at USC.
In that sense, Seattle firing Norton this week, along with defensive passing-game coordinator Andre Curtis, was mildly surprising.
In every other sense, it was not.
The Seahawks’ defense was good at times during Norton’s four-year tenure. But two of the best stretches followed awful starts to each of the past two seasons, when Seattle allowed yards at historic rates early before turning things around. It was not consistently great over any of those four seasons, never ranking inside the top 10 in points allowed or top 15 in yards allowed.
In fairness to Norton, he didn’t have the same level of talent that predecessors Kris Richard, Dan Quinn and Gus Bradley did during the Legion of Boom days. And while Seattle’s defense was part of the problem in 2021, especially early, it’s hard to argue it was the biggest reason they finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs for only the second time in the past 10 seasons.
No one expected status quo after a season in which the Seahawks suffered their most losses in more than a decade.
Now the search is underway for their fifth defensive coordinator of Carroll’s tenure.
A source told ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler that they’ve requested an interview with Denver Broncos DC Ed Donatell. The other reported candidates are Seahawks defensive line coach/assistant head coach Clint Hurtt (per The Seattle Times), Chicago Bears DC Sean Desai (per The Athletic) and Joe Whitt Jr. (per the NFL Network), the Dallas Cowboys‘ defensive passing game coordinator and secondary coach.
Before a look at each candidate, here are three questions worth considering:
What role did Jody Allen have in the Norton and Curtis decisions? Their firings came days after Carroll and general manager John Schneider met with Allen, who’s been the team’s de facto owner since her brother Paul Allen passed away in 2018. It’s believed that the major shakeup to Carroll’s staff following the 2017 season was largely at Paul Allen’s behest. It’s fair to wonder what influence Jody Allen had on these changes.
How appealing is the Seahawks’ DC job? It depends on the coach. Anyone that Carroll hires would be running Carroll’s defense for the most part. A more established coordinator who’s had success running his own scheme would presumably be disinclined to adopt someone else’s. To some candidates, though, the Seattle job would carry plenty of appeal. There are the usual questions about which free agents (Quandre Diggs, D.J. Reed, Al Woods) and under-contract players (Bobby Wagner) will be back.
But between what they already have, who they’ll re-sign and who they may add in free agency with their ample cap space, there should be enough talent to make it far from a rebuilding effort. And it may be equally attractive to prospective DCs that the Seahawks have a quarterback and offense that should be able to do their part, assuming Russell Wilson isn’t traded.
What schematic changes might Carroll have in mind? Long gone are the days when the Seahawks would run pretty much the same defense, knowing they were good enough to execute even if opposing offenses knew what was coming. They’ve done things differently in recent seasons. In 2019, it was an unusually heavy dose of base personnel. In 2021, they frequently used what was essentially a five-man defensive line. They also played more man later in the year, according to Reed, which helped curb all the yards they were allowing in soft zones early on.
Point being: Carroll has been adapting his defense. Whatever changes he makes will likely be geared towards generating more pressure and turnovers. They were tied for 22nd in sacks last year and 25th in takeaways.
Here’s a look at the four reported candidates:
Ed Donatell. The 64-year-old Donatell has a long history with Carroll that began in 1983 at University of the Pacific. They also spent four seasons together (1990-94) with the Jets. Donatell coached defensive backs in both of those stops, which has been his primary position group throughout his coaching career. He worked closely with Broncos DBs during his three seasons in Denver, where he ran coach Vic Fangio’s defense.
The Broncos allowed the third-fewest points of any team in 2021. That seems indicative of strong coaching when you consider the personnel challenges they dealt with between the Von Miller trade, Bradley Chubb only playing seven games and numerous injuries to their inside linebackers.
Clint Hurtt. The only in-house candidate of the four, the 43-year-old Hurtt has spent the past five seasons on Carroll’s staff. He previously coached outside linebackers with Chicago. As disappointing as the Seahawks’ pass rush was in 2021, their defense was strong at stopping the run, allowing the second-fewest yards per carry in the NFL.
Could the Seahawks go with a dual-coordinator role in which Hurtt is in charge of their run defense while someone else handles the pass defense? They had that arrangement on offense during their Super Bowl years between Darrell Bevell and Tom Cable. Per Fowler, Hurtt is also in the mix for the DC job at the University of Miami, his alma mater.
Joe Whitt Jr. The 43-year-old Whitt doesn’t have history with Carroll but did spend parts of the past two seasons working under Carroll disciple Dan Quinn. Whitt was the Atlanta Falcons‘ defensive passing game coordinator and secondary coach in 2020, Quinn’s last year as Falcons head coach. Whitt followed Quinn to Dallas last offseason after Quinn was named the Cowboys’ DC. Quinn coordinated Carroll’s defense in 2013 and ’14 and has continued to run a similar scheme, which provides some built-in familiarity with Whitt. Carroll has to like what Dallas did this past season in leading the NFL in interceptions and takeaways.
Sean Desai. He also has no direct experience with Carroll, having worked in the college ranks before he began his nine-year run with the Bears in 2013. He is coming off his first season as a defensive coordinator at any level. The 38-year-old Desai was Chicago’s safeties coach for two seasons (2019-20) before they elevated him to DC last year. The Bears ranked 22nd in points allowed last season and sixth in yards allowed.
According to the team’s website, Desai is the NFL’s first Indian-American coordinator. He earned his doctorate in educational administration in 2018 from Temple, where he served as an adjunct professor in 2009 and ’10.
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