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NFL draft 2022 – Six questions for teams with projected top-five picks, including the Lions, Jets, Eagles and Giants



We’re only seven weeks into the 2021 NFL season, and the 2022 draft remains half a year away. At least 10 games remain for every team, and we won’t know the draft order or what this upcoming prospect class will really look like for quite some time. But it’s never too early to start thinking about the draft, and that’s especially true for teams in position to land an early pick on Day 1.

Using our ESPN Football Power Index (FPI), we identified six teams with at least a 30% chance of having a top-five selection next April: the Lions, Jets, Texans, Jaguars, Eagles and Giants. Four of those teams are set to have multiple first-round picks, as well. We then asked our NFL Nation reporters a key question at this point in the draft process, as those six franchises keep an eye on the future.

Which teams could be looking at a quarterback? Which teams have needs all over the roster? And which GMs have big decisions to make in the coming months? Let’s jump in, starting with a key question for Detroit.

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FPI chances to pick No. 1 overall: 29.4%
FPI chances of a top-five pick: 87.7%
Projected draft slots: Nos. 1 and 29

Has the Lions organization seen enough from Jared Goff to definitely go QB in the first round next April?

No. That’s certainly not the case. Goff has had his struggles this year, but Lions coach Dan Campbell still feels that he hasn’t been able to fully evaluate Goff with so many missing pieces around him, including offensive tackle Taylor Decker, center Frank Ragnow and receivers Quintez Cephus and Tyrell Williams, among others. However, that doesn’t excuse a season which Goff describes as being “up and down.”

Furthermore, this year’s quarterback class isn’t as encouraging as last year’s group, without many immediate game-changers, so Goff could be the Lions’ guy for at least another season. Detroit could decide to go with an edge rusher with an early pick and then possibly draft a receiver later in the first round — the Lions also have the Rams’ first-rounder — to continue to equip Goff with some better weapons. — Eric Woodyard

FPI chances to pick No. 1 overall: 26.3%
FPI chances of a top-five pick: 85.8%
Projected draft slots: Nos. 2 and 12

The Jets have used all five of their first- and second-round picks over the past two years on offense. Will GM Joe Douglas continue to build on that side of the ball, or is it time to focus on the defense?

Douglas has a defensive-minded coach, Robert Saleh, so that might be a clue for next April. The Jets have pressing needs in the back seven, especially at linebacker. Cornerback could also be a priority, depending on how rookies Brandin Echols and Michael Carter II perform the rest of the season, and LSU’s Derek Stingley Jr. might be too good to pass up there.

Safety could be on the list, too, assuming Marcus Maye isn’t re-signed. And finally, the Jets already have a lot of money invested in the defensive line, with Carl Lawson and John Franklin-Myers, but Saleh and Douglas love, love, love building in the trenches. — Rich Cimini

FPI chances to pick No. 1 overall: 24.5%
FPI chances of a top-five pick: 85.8%
Projected draft slot: No. 3

Do you see Houston going quarterback all the way at the top of the draft, or is it more likely that the Texans go best prospect available?

A lot depends on what happens before the draft with quarterback Deshaun Watson or any quarterback who might come back to the Texans in a trade. But if Houston’s quarterback situation remains the same this offseason, and there’s not a quarterback who stands out at the top of the draft, it seems likely that the Texans draft the best player available instead.

Houston has had only one first-round pick since 2018 and has holes everywhere on the roster. Even if the Texans have the top pick in April, the team isn’t a quarterback away from winning a Super Bowl. This rebuild in Houston will take some time, so it makes sense for general manager Nick Caserio to take the best talent on the board rather than rushing to take a QB. — Sarah Barshop



Adam Schefter details the latest on the possibility of Deshaun Watson being traded to the Dolphins as soon as this week.

FPI chances to pick No. 1 overall: 12.9%
FPI chances of a top-five pick: 72.4%
Projected draft slot: No. 4

How can the Jaguars continue to build around QB Trevor Lawrence with their first-round pick next April? What positions could need the biggest boosts?

Pick a position on offense. With the possible exception of running back — they have James Robinson and Travis Etienne Jr. there — the Jaguars need upgrades everywhere.

They need a playmaking (and speedy) receiver to complement Marvin Jones Jr. and Laviska Shenault Jr, They’ve pretty much ignored tight end until trading for Dan Arnold, but he’s not the long-term answer. And they might have to replace three starting offensive linemen, including left tackle Cam Robinson.

The offense is averaging 19.3 points per game and hasn’t scored more than 23 points in any game so far this season. Plus, the offense lacks explosive plays; the Jaguars have just eight runs of 20 or more yards or receptions of 30 or more yards. — Michael DiRocco

FPI chances to pick No. 1 overall: 2.9%
FPI chances of a top-five pick: 38.6%
Projected draft slots: Nos. 5, 10 and 17*

If the Eagles end up with the Indianapolis Colts‘ pick and have three first-rounders, would they be better off using all three to build up the roster, or using that draft capital to land a QB?

That depends largely on their evaluation of Jalen Hurts, who has been inconsistent through seven games this season. Coach Nick Sirianni has listed accuracy and decision-making as two of the top things he looks for in a quarterback. Hurts will likely have to show improvement in those areas between now and the end of the season for Sirianni to be convinced Hurts is the guy.

It’s rare to have that many first-round picks, and nothing is more important than getting the QB position right, so if the Eagles can use those picks to find a long-term solution at the position that they feel would be a significant upgrade over Hurts, they should do it. — Tim McManus

*If Carson Wentz plays at least 75% of the Colts’ offensive snaps this season, or the Colts make the playoffs and Wentz plays at least 70% of the snaps, Indianapolis’ 2022 first-rounder goes to Philadelphia.

FPI chances to pick No. 1 overall: 1.4%
FPI chances of a top-five pick: 30.2%
Projected draft slots: Nos. 6 and 9

What’s more likely to happen for the Giants: QB Daniel Jones plays well down the stretch, the team picks up his option and builds around him with two first-round picks, or the team is in the 2022 QB market, even if Jones is on the roster?

Jones has played well already this season, even if his numbers aren’t flashy. With the competition lightening and his supporting cast improving (some of the injured playmakers will get back on the field), it seems likely the Giants’ offense and Jones will only get better in the second half of this season.

The Giants are also way more sold on Jones than outsiders want to believe, especially with another year of low cost on his rookie deal in the offing. All of it makes the Giants unlikely to be in the 2022 QB market. — Jordan Raanan

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How Lee Evans moved past his devastating failed catch 10 years ago – Baltimore Ravens Blog



Lee Evans has long moved on from one of the biggest playoff gaffes in NFL history, although the former Baltimore Ravens wide receiver hasn’t moved far from Baltimore.

Evans, 40, lives a one-hour drive away in Northern Virginia, where he is busy investing in real estate and coaching his 13-year-old son in football, basketball and baseball. As a coach, one of the lessons Evans teaches comes from the lowest point of his eight-year NFL career.

“It’s not necessarily about what happens to you, it’s how you react to it,” Evans said. “I think the biggest thing, when you’re talking to kids, is letting them know that it’s OK to fail, and you’re going to fail. It’s going to happen. So if you can’t rebound from it, you probably won’t go very far in anything.”

It was 10 years ago on Saturday — Jan. 22, 2012 — when Evans failed to hold onto a potential winning touchdown catch in the waning seconds of the AFC Championship Game and cost the Ravens a trip to the Super Bowl. The 23-20 loss to the New England Patriots was sealed when Billy Cundiff’s 32-yard field goal attempt sailed wide left with 15 seconds left.

He has second-guessed what he could’ve done better to not let cornerback Sterling Moore slap the ball away from his grasp in the end zone, but Evans doesn’t obsess. He’s not haunted by the fact that the final pass thrown to him resulted in this dreadful moment in Foxborough, Massachusetts.

“I feel like I could have been stronger with the catch, but yeah, for a DB, that’s what they want to do,” Evans said. “They want to get their hands on the ball and knock it out. And he did a good job of doing that.”

Evans still loves football. He took his son to last Saturday’s playoff game in Buffalo. Lee Evans IV is a Buffalo Bills fan because he was born in Buffalo, where his father caught 377 passes from 2004 to 2010.

The elder Evans still loves the Ravens. He has attended one game at M&T Bank Stadium a few years ago, and he believes his youngest son, 3-year-old Lyndon, will grow up to be a Ravens fan.

He still loves visiting Baltimore. He lived in the city a year after being cut by the Ravens, and he’s been making frequent trips there recently to look at real estate properties.

Every now and then, Evans does get recognized.

“There hasn’t been any type of issue,” he said. “It was all in good support.”

Evans has always been grateful for the support he received from his teammates after the game, even to this day. He recently reconnected with Hall of Fame middle linebacker Ray Lewis through a mutual friend.

“He put us on a text, and my heart just smiled,” Lewis said. “I said it then: ‘One guy does not win or lose a game, a team wins and loses games, right?’ And yeah, one moment that it didn’t go the way he would’ve wanted it to go, that it is what it is. But as a brother, I loved him more. I love him more now.”

A decade ago, Evans stopped Lewis as he was boarding the bus outside Gillette Stadium. Evans knew the 36-year-old linebacker might never get a chance at getting to the Super Bowl again, and he wanted to apologize. But Lewis stopped him.

“People say it all the time, ‘Oh, he should have made that catch,’” Lewis said. “I know a lot of tackles I should have made. I know a lot of things we should have done. He was one of the reasons why we was in the AFC Championship. Let’s make that loud and clear. And so as a brother, I’m proud of him. I’m proud of him that he’s kept himself together and he’s living a really good life.”

After that game, Evans asked someone from public relations to get him a picture of his failed catch. He wanted it to serve as a constant reminder to keep pushing. For a while, the photo hung on a wall in his home.

That pic captured Evans’ final NFL game. After getting cut by Baltimore, he signed with the Jacksonville Jaguars, but he was released early in training camp.

Many of Evans’ teammates with the Ravens received a second chance, and they capitalized on it. Baltimore exacted some revenge in winning in New England in the AFC Championship Game the following season and then beat the San Francisco 49ers in the Super Bowl.

Evans was cheering the Ravens along the way.

“I knew who that team was and the potential that it had,” Evans said. “So whether I’m on that team or not, seeing what it was made up of, it was great to see them get over that hump. I was really, really happy for those guys because it was a special group of guys, for sure.”

Evans heard that the failed catch was talked about in Tom Brady’s “Man in the Arena” series on ESPN, and he plans on watching it. He can’t remember the last time he thought about the play before this.

“It’s not really on my mind a whole lot,” Evans said. “I mean, obviously when you go to games and you’re watching football and you see things happen, you think back to when you played. But it’s not really something that I think about constantly or dwell on.”

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NFL divisional round – Could cold be a factor for San Francisco 49ers vs. Green Bay Packers playoff game?



GREEN BAY, Wis. — For much of their storied history, the Green Bay Packers were unbeatable at home in the postseason.

The Packers, buoyed by the minuscule temperatures of the “frozen tundra,” won each of their first 13 playoff games at Lambeau Field. Some of that mystique has worn off since the Packers suffered their first home playoff loss to the Atlanta Falcons in 2003, as they have gone 7-6 since the undefeated start.

Green Bay’s next chance to win a home playoff game comes Saturday night in the NFC divisional round when quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo and the San Francisco 49ers visit Lambeau for the first time in the postseason since Jan. 5, 2014.

Whether weather really matters in a game such as this was a popular topic this week as the Niners prepared for the Packers. That was especially true for Garoppolo, who, according to ESPN Stats & Information research, has not thrown a pass in an NFL game with kickoff temperatures below 40 degrees.

By kickoff Saturday night (8:15 p.m. ET), the temperature, according to, is expected to be around 10 degrees and dropping through the evening, though it’s not likely to make the top 10 list of the coldest games. For point of reference, the last time the 49ers played a playoff game in Green Bay, the kickoff temperature was 5 degrees.

Since 2014, 101 quarterbacks have started a game with kickoff temperatures below 40 degrees, which means this will be Garoppolo’s first, at least in the NFL. Not that he’s too concerned about it.

“I’ve lived in it my whole life, so there’s just different ways [to get ready for it],” Garoppolo said. “I think people who have grown up in it and played in it for a long time, there’s ways to prepare for it, things that you kind of know going into it. I think our team, we have a good mindset going into this thing and we know what it’s going to be like on Saturday, so it’ll be a hell of an atmosphere.”

Before Saturday, the closest Garoppolo has come to throwing a pass in what is loosely defined as a “cold weather” NFL game was during his time as the backup to Tom Brady with the New England Patriots. The Patriots had 13 games with a kickoff temperature below 40 degrees during his tenure, but he played only three snaps in those games, all of which were kneel-downs.

Despite that, Garoppolo is no stranger to playing football in cold weather. He grew up in Arlington Heights, Illinois, just three hours from Green Bay, and spent his high school and college (Eastern Illinois University) careers regularly playing in the cold. Most recently, that included a pair of FCS playoff games in 2013 that had an average low of 8 degrees on those days. Garoppolo threw for 561 yards, five touchdowns and an interception in those contests combined.

On the other side, Packers QB Aaron Rodgers is 34-12 since 2014 in games played below 40 degrees. His playoff record for such games is 4-1.

Of more importance for Garoppolo is how the weather affects his injured right (throwing) thumb and shoulder. He has a torn ligament in the thumb and a sprained shoulder. The cold combined with those two injuries could affect Garoppolo’s ability to grip the ball and will be worth watching when he takes hits.

Garoppolo suffered the shoulder injury last week against the Dallas Cowboys and said it had an impact on every throw he made after it happened, not unlike the searing pain he feels in his thumb after any throw.

“It’s a shoulder injury, so any type of throw you’re going to feel it and it’s going to change things,” Garoppolo said. “It’s just similar to when I was first dealing with the thumb, my body’s just learning and I have to adapt to it.”

As for the rest of the 49ers, the thought of cold weather doesn’t seem to faze them much. Coach Kyle Shanahan acknowledged that he doesn’t “do well” in cold but said it’s up to individual players on how to handle it themselves, whether that means wearing long sleeves, long underwear or whatever else is available to try to keep warm.

“The weather is cold out there, but that’s no reason to affect a game,” Shanahan said. “Wind is a much bigger factor. Rain is a bigger factor.”

Tight end George Kittle harked back to 2013, when he was at Iowa and the Hawkeyes played Michigan on a day that was minus-28 degrees with the wind chill.

Kittle offered some tips on how best to handle it all.

“My key to staying warm is just to play, play a lot of snaps and so you keep your blood going,” Kittle said. “The heated seats and the heaters on the sideline are probably really nice. But hey, it’s football, you can’t really use the cold as an excuse.”

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Will Pete Carroll go past comfort zone for Seahawks’ new d-coordinator – Seattle Seahawks Blog



SEATTLE — On a personal level, the decision to fire defensive coordinator Ken Norton Jr. had to be brutal for Pete Carroll.

The Seattle Seahawks coach is known for loyalty to his assistants and has long had a particular affinity for Norton, once calling him one of the favorite people he’s worked with during his coaching career. The two go back to the mid-90s, when Norton was an All-Pro linebacker for the San Francisco 49ers while Carroll was their defensive coordinator. Norton worked under Carroll for 15 of the past 18 seasons dating back to their time at USC.

In that sense, Seattle firing Norton this week, along with defensive passing-game coordinator Andre Curtis, was mildly surprising.

In every other sense, it was not.

The Seahawks’ defense was good at times during Norton’s four-year tenure. But two of the best stretches followed awful starts to each of the past two seasons, when Seattle allowed yards at historic rates early before turning things around. It was not consistently great over any of those four seasons, never ranking inside the top 10 in points allowed or top 15 in yards allowed.

In fairness to Norton, he didn’t have the same level of talent that predecessors Kris Richard, Dan Quinn and Gus Bradley did during the Legion of Boom days. And while Seattle’s defense was part of the problem in 2021, especially early, it’s hard to argue it was the biggest reason they finished 7-10 and missed the playoffs for only the second time in the past 10 seasons.

No one expected status quo after a season in which the Seahawks suffered their most losses in more than a decade.

Now the search is underway for their fifth defensive coordinator of Carroll’s tenure.

A source told ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler that they’ve requested an interview with Denver Broncos DC Ed Donatell. The other reported candidates are Seahawks defensive line coach/assistant head coach Clint Hurtt (per The Seattle Times), Chicago Bears DC Sean Desai (per The Athletic) and Joe Whitt Jr. (per the NFL Network), the Dallas Cowboys‘ defensive passing game coordinator and secondary coach.

Before a look at each candidate, here are three questions worth considering:

What role did Jody Allen have in the Norton and Curtis decisions? Their firings came days after Carroll and general manager John Schneider met with Allen, who’s been the team’s de facto owner since her brother Paul Allen passed away in 2018. It’s believed that the major shakeup to Carroll’s staff following the 2017 season was largely at Paul Allen’s behest. It’s fair to wonder what influence Jody Allen had on these changes.

How appealing is the Seahawks’ DC job? It depends on the coach. Anyone that Carroll hires would be running Carroll’s defense for the most part. A more established coordinator who’s had success running his own scheme would presumably be disinclined to adopt someone else’s. To some candidates, though, the Seattle job would carry plenty of appeal. There are the usual questions about which free agents (Quandre Diggs, D.J. Reed, Al Woods) and under-contract players (Bobby Wagner) will be back.

But between what they already have, who they’ll re-sign and who they may add in free agency with their ample cap space, there should be enough talent to make it far from a rebuilding effort. And it may be equally attractive to prospective DCs that the Seahawks have a quarterback and offense that should be able to do their part, assuming Russell Wilson isn’t traded.

What schematic changes might Carroll have in mind? Long gone are the days when the Seahawks would run pretty much the same defense, knowing they were good enough to execute even if opposing offenses knew what was coming. They’ve done things differently in recent seasons. In 2019, it was an unusually heavy dose of base personnel. In 2021, they frequently used what was essentially a five-man defensive line. They also played more man later in the year, according to Reed, which helped curb all the yards they were allowing in soft zones early on.

Point being: Carroll has been adapting his defense. Whatever changes he makes will likely be geared towards generating more pressure and turnovers. They were tied for 22nd in sacks last year and 25th in takeaways.

Here’s a look at the four reported candidates:

Ed Donatell. The 64-year-old Donatell has a long history with Carroll that began in 1983 at University of the Pacific. They also spent four seasons together (1990-94) with the Jets. Donatell coached defensive backs in both of those stops, which has been his primary position group throughout his coaching career. He worked closely with Broncos DBs during his three seasons in Denver, where he ran coach Vic Fangio’s defense.

The Broncos allowed the third-fewest points of any team in 2021. That seems indicative of strong coaching when you consider the personnel challenges they dealt with between the Von Miller trade, Bradley Chubb only playing seven games and numerous injuries to their inside linebackers.

Clint Hurtt. The only in-house candidate of the four, the 43-year-old Hurtt has spent the past five seasons on Carroll’s staff. He previously coached outside linebackers with Chicago. As disappointing as the Seahawks’ pass rush was in 2021, their defense was strong at stopping the run, allowing the second-fewest yards per carry in the NFL.

Could the Seahawks go with a dual-coordinator role in which Hurtt is in charge of their run defense while someone else handles the pass defense? They had that arrangement on offense during their Super Bowl years between Darrell Bevell and Tom Cable. Per Fowler, Hurtt is also in the mix for the DC job at the University of Miami, his alma mater.

Joe Whitt Jr. The 43-year-old Whitt doesn’t have history with Carroll but did spend parts of the past two seasons working under Carroll disciple Dan Quinn. Whitt was the Atlanta Falcons‘ defensive passing game coordinator and secondary coach in 2020, Quinn’s last year as Falcons head coach. Whitt followed Quinn to Dallas last offseason after Quinn was named the Cowboys’ DC. Quinn coordinated Carroll’s defense in 2013 and ’14 and has continued to run a similar scheme, which provides some built-in familiarity with Whitt. Carroll has to like what Dallas did this past season in leading the NFL in interceptions and takeaways.

Sean Desai. He also has no direct experience with Carroll, having worked in the college ranks before he began his nine-year run with the Bears in 2013. He is coming off his first season as a defensive coordinator at any level. The 38-year-old Desai was Chicago’s safeties coach for two seasons (2019-20) before they elevated him to DC last year. The Bears ranked 22nd in points allowed last season and sixth in yards allowed.

According to the team’s website, Desai is the NFL’s first Indian-American coordinator. He earned his doctorate in educational administration in 2018 from Temple, where he served as an adjunct professor in 2009 and ’10.

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